
Resolved No on 5 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 62.5%. Yes opened at 47% on 1 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2024 to 5 Aug 2024, the highest close was 47% on 1 Aug 2024 and the lowest 37.5% on 5 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 39.5% on 2 Aug 2024. $4.64K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 6, 3:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 1 Aug 2024 – 5 Aug 2024, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2024 | 47.0% |
| 5 Aug 2024 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 565.44 |
| Offbeat-Underneath | Yes | 281.75 |
| Mouse | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
How many gold medals will Simone Biles win?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-gold-medals-will-simone-biles-win
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