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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Tax" 20 or more times during Wisconsin rally?No | buy | 316.17 | $0.210 | $66.4 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 2.74K |
| $0.001 |
| $2.74 |
| Oct 5, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to 48 or more months prison time?Yes | sell | 98.39 | $0.006 | $0.59 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to between 24 and 35 months prison time?Yes | sell | 54.29 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to between 0 and 11 months prison time?Yes | sell | 695.96 | $0.001 | $0.7 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?Yes | sell | 1.93K | $0.001 | $1.93 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to between 0 and 11 months prison time?Yes | sell | 1.49K | $0.002 | $2.98 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to between 24 and 35 months prison time?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.002 | $2.4 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Kamala positive favorability by Friday?Yes | buy | 256.95 | $0.598 | $153.7 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz say "Teacher" during CNN interview?Yes | sell | 19.19 | $0.999 | $19.17 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "cemetery" during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.997 | $54.84 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "border" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.999 | $11.99 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "border czar" during Pennsylvania rally?No | buy | 384.28 | $0.140 | $53.8 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Pavel" or "Durov" during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | sell | 35.52 | $0.070 | $2.49 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" 3+ times during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.430 | $10.75 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz say "Teacher" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 269.3 | $0.890 | $239.68 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "drill baby drill" during Michigan town hall?No | sell | 239.92 | $0.999 | $239.68 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "drill baby drill" during Michigan town hall?No | buy | 239.92 | $0.580 | $139.15 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Will J.D. Vance say "dynamic duo" during Michigan rally?No | buy | 139.15 | $0.650 | $90.45 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Will Kamala's DNC speech has between 27m and 29m viewers?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.850 | $1.67 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala's DNC speech has between 29m and 31m viewers?No | sell | 1.62 | $0.750 | $1.22 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala's DNC speech have 31m or more viewers?Yes | buy | 9.56 | $0.370 | $3.54 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala's DNC speech have 31m or more viewers?Yes | buy | 19.77 | $0.370 | $7.31 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to between 0 and 11 months prison time?Yes | sell | 409 | $0.090 | $36.81 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC speech?No | buy | 85.86 | $0.170 | $14.6 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Unburdened" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?No | buy | 300 | $0.050 | $15 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?No | buy | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Obama" during DNC speech?No | sell | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Will Walz say "Weird" or "Weirdo" at DNC speech?Yes | sell | 33.54 | $0.999 | $33.51 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Walz say "debate" at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 38.63 | $0.390 | $15.07 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.007 | $1.4 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?No | buy | 1.54K | $0.060 | $92.34 | Aug 19, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?No | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Aug 19, 2024 |
 Will Brandon Aiyuk stay on the 49ers?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.813 | $81.3 | Aug 19, 2024 |
 Who will raise more in September?Trump | sell | 160 | $0.060 | $9.6 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?Yes | sell | 558.73 | $0.550 | $307.3 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Will Harris lead by 2 or more points on August 16?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.090 | $22.5 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead by 1.6-1.9 points on August 16?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.130 | $32.5 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.061 | $12.2 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead by 1.6-1.9 points on August 16?Yes | buy | 207 | $0.120 | $24.84 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead by 2 or more points on August 16?Yes | buy | 446.05 | $0.090 | $40.14 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead by 2 or more points on August 16?Yes | buy | 227.91 | $0.080 | $18.23 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?No | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Will Brandon Aiyuk be traded to the Patriots?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.010 | $6.27 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Will Brandon Aiyuk be traded to the Steelers?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.350 | $26.25 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 US adds less than 100k jobs in August?Yes | sell | 999.43 | $0.159 | $158.84 | Aug 12, 2024 |