Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 27.5%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 1 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2024 to 5 Aug 2024, the highest close was 72.5% on 5 Aug 2024 and the lowest 29.5% on 1 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 72.5% on 5 Aug 2024. $10.44K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 6, 2:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 1 Aug 2024 – 5 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2024 | 29.5% |
| 5 Aug 2024 | 72.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sirConradz | Yes | 873.22 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 565.44 |
| Mouse | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
How many gold medals will Simone Biles win?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-gold-medals-will-simone-biles-win
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
