Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.9%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 21 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 21 Jun 2024 to 24 Jun 2024, the highest close was 10.5% on 21 Jun 2024 and the lowest 2.1% on 24 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.9 points down, to 4.6% on 22 Jun 2024. $22.11K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 25, 4:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 21 Jun 2024 – 24 Jun 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2024 | 10.5% |
| 24 Jun 2024 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On June 20, Martin Shkreli posted screenshots of messages he claims are between himself and Barron Trump (see: https://x.com/MartinShkreli/status/1803824556827615721). This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive evidence emerges that the screenshot of messages Shkreli posted are actually from Barron Trump by June 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Note: Unofficial statements made by acquaintances of the Trump Family (such as a friend of Barron Trump) will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be public statements directly from Barron or Donald Trump, or definitive evidence that the screenshots are real.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/shkreli-x-barron-trump-screenshots-real
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
