Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 1 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 1 May 2024 to 1 Jun 2024, the highest close was 32.5% on 1 May 2024 and the lowest 0.6% on 1 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 18.5% on 2 May 2024. $17.88K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 1:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 1 May 2024 – 1 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2024 | 32.5% |
| 1 Jun 2024 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JordoHendo | Yes | 176.47 |
| Capybara | Yes | 176.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/shafik-out-as-columbia-president-by-may-31
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