
Resolved No on 3 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 64%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 21 Sep 2025 to 3 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50% on 21 Sep 2025 and the lowest 35.5% on 29 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 37% on 22 Sep 2025. $192.65K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 12:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 21 Sep 2025 – 3 Oct 2025, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2025 | 50.0% |
| 3 Oct 2025 | 36.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SpartanWar | Yes | 58.85K |
| Alert-Doubling | Yes | 22.09K |
| supersportsbro | Yes | 5.62K |
| Zz2025zZ | Yes | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming SEA game, scheduled for October 3 at 2:45PM ET between Verona and US Sassuolo Calcio.
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/en
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-ver-sas-2025-10-03
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| babylu | Yes | 1.4K |
| Kbr | Yes | 333 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 200 |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 150 |
| Snowman-pol | Yes | 107.5 |
| Handsome-Squidward | Yes | 100 |