Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 31.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2025 to 8 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 27 Dec 2025 and the lowest 29.5% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 29.5% on 29 Dec 2025. $169.11K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 10, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 27 Dec 2025 – 8 Jan 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 8 Jan 2026 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | No | 3.15K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.9K |
| Alive-Poppy | No | 1.85K |
| tc886 | No | 748.53 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 8, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-cre-cag-2026-01-08
New to prediction markets?
| kissi | No | 654.41 |
| nzone | No | 625.67 |
| MartyMcFox | No | 473 |
| rox119 | No | 419.62 |
| taco-321 | No | 170.88 |
| nekix | No | 145.59 |
