
Resolved No on 5 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 23 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2026 to 4 Apr 2026, the highest close was 49% on 23 Mar 2026 and the lowest 26% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 26.5% on 24 Mar 2026. $18.61K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 6, 3:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 23 Mar 2026 – 4 Apr 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
| 4 Apr 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Yes | 4.73K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.94K |
| VorpalQuark | Yes | 3.45K |
| polyfam | Yes | 970.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, April 5, 2026 between US Cremonese and Bologna FC 1909.
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-cre-bol-2026-04-05
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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