What is the “SBF reduced sentence because autism?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: SBF reduced sentence because autism? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Mar 28, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
Samuel Bankman-Fried is due to be sentenced on March 28, 2024, as a result of the verdict reached in the 2023 "United States of America v. Samuel Bankman-Fried" trial. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF's sentence in this case is shorter than it would be otherwise because he is autistic. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the judge's/court's comments during the initial sentencing. For this market to resolve to "Yes", the sentencing judge/court must explicitly mention that autism is a specific mitigating factor during his sentencing. Vague…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($184.92K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$98.68K
No buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Apr 18, 12:00 AM
Vultax loaded 5 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 7, 11:09 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/sbf-reduced-sentence-because-autism) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
