Analytics
Yes is at 18.5%, down 19 points from 37% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
Across the 13 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 37% on 11 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 26.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 26.5% on 12 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “United Rugby Championship: Connacht vs Zebre”.
$68.64 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $193.74 since listing. The order book holds $130.1, with a 31.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 22 trades, $14.04 bought Yes and $123.32 bought No.
The largest Yes position is JOY677000 with 50 shares; the largest No position is Deliles with 131.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 12:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 37.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 18.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deliles | No | 131.07 |
| JOY677000 | Yes | 50 |
| Golden Kestrel D399 | Yes | 40.07 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 23 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ruurc-con-zeb-2026-10-23
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 |
| Yes |
| 29.98 |
| Minty-Clipper | Yes | 19.86 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.22 |
| notfinishedreadingthebookyet | Yes | 7.39 |
| pupsik2 | Yes | 5 |
| korda77 | No | 4.96 |
| Understated-Liability | No | 1.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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