Analytics
Yes is at 93%, up 30 points from 63.5% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 93% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 63.5% on 11 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 63.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 72.5% on 20 Oct 2026.
Connacht is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “United Rugby Championship: Connacht vs Zebre”, ahead of Draw at 12%.
$54.56 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $204.18, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Rapid Sphinx B44D with 42 shares; the largest No position is 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 with 30.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 2:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 63.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 93.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Sphinx B44D | Yes | 41.95 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | 30 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.22 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 23 2026 If Connacht wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ruurc-con-zeb-2026-10-23
| Deliles | Yes | 5 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 5 |
| hanabf | Yes | 4.35 |
| Jumpy-Client | No | 4.35 |
| agm33 | Yes | 3.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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