Analytics
Yes is at 3.1%, down 36 points from 39.5% when the market opened on 31 Jul 2026.
Across the 89 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.4% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.9% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.1%; a month before, 31.9%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 20.5% on 18 Sep 2026.
$340.62 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.27K, with a 3.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 42 trades, $29.64 bought Yes and $173.18 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 57 shares; the largest No position is taojpl with 75. Ten wallets hold 91.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 31 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 39.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| taojpl | No | 75.13 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 57.38 |
| Hopeful-Burnout | No | 36.59 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rodrigo-paz-out-as-president-of-bolivia-by
| Taylor7v7 |
| Yes |
| 34.14 |
| MessiIsTheRealGoat | No | 22.45 |
| josueuser | Yes | 22.05 |
| 79fsdfs | Yes | 18.66 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 17.81 |
| francoR26 | No | 17.81 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 9.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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