Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 1 May 2024. Before it settled, the high was 19.5% on 1 May 2024 and the low 0.4% on 5 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 4% on 23 May 2024. $80.95K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 4:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 1 May 2024 – 5 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2024 | 19.5% |
| 5 Jul 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pmnt | Yes | 3.53K |
| Test77 | Yes | 583 |
| Keen Falcon ACDB | No | 5 |
| 2649857589 | No | 1.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between April 29, 2024, and the next UK general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until the next UK general election takes place. If no election takes place by January 31, 2025, and Sunak has remained Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for the entire duration of the market without interruption this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rishi-sunak-out-before-next-uk-election
| 856491945 | No | 1.05 |
| bargainbin | Yes | 0.07 |
| Bobic | Yes | 0.05 |
| WordleAddict | No | 0.02 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
