Analytics
Yes is at 12.5%, down 79 points from 91% when the market opened on 27 Nov 2025.
Across the 316 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91% on 27 Nov 2025 and the lowest 10.5% on 15 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16%; a month before, 22.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 58.5% on 7 Jan 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$93.68K has traded since listing. The order book holds $580.33, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.71K bought Yes and $4.6K bought No.
The largest Yes position is z9z with 6.6K shares; the largest No position is iiiijiijjijiijiiii with 3.8K. Ten wallets hold 70.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 316 points, 27 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 91.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 12.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| z9z | Yes | 6.65K |
| iiiijiijjijiijiiii | No | 3.82K |
| alanhutton | No | 2.75K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/reya-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| solva2 |
| Yes |
| 2.01K |
| Risto | No | 1.5K |
| Pranjal | Yes | 1.41K |
| mashutka | No | 1.25K |
| tradexplorer | No | 990.94 |
| Avoc | No | 760.34 |
| Beyonddream | No | 604.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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