Analytics
Yes is at 20%, down 30 points from 50% when the market opened on 8 Jul 2026.
Across the 107 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 78.5% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 22%; a month before, 75%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 75.5% on 10 Sep 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$301.48 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10.84K since listing. The order book holds $682.32, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 202 trades, $2.19K bought Yes and $1.91K bought No.
The largest Yes position is aztecwillnevercooke with 1K shares; the largest No position is Badgery with 750. Ten wallets hold 75.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 107 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 20.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aztecwillnevercooke | Yes | 1.04K |
| Badgery | No | 749.98 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 638.22 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/reya-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| SuperTests |
| Yes |
| 629.77 |
| OPOP10 | No | 575.58 |
| Choroo | No | 553.71 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 437.22 |
| Odd-Relish | No | 420.04 |
| balthazar | No | 419.28 |
| BuyerOfNo | No | 300.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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