
Resolved No on 23 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 18 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 18 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 13.5% on 18 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 2.4% on 19 Oct 2026. $729.72 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 1:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 18 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 400.2 |
| 50cents | Yes | 146.01 |
| Hugehunter | Yes | 70 |
| buoys | Yes | 63.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-october-23-10172026
| Haradwaith | Yes | 51.51 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.97 |
| balthazar | Yes | 28.34 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
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