Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 97% on 24 Sep 2026 and the low 0.5% on 4 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 60 points down, to 37.3% on 25 Sep 2026. $22.4K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 8:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 31 points · 4 Sep 2026 – 4 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| crypto-basenji | Yes | 2.23K |
| libanorix | Yes | 994.14 |
| gonzinho | Yes | 580 |
| rocky42004 | No | 323.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Renan Santos participates in a televised Brazilian presidential debate between market creation and October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Renan Santos must speak at least once as a participant in a Brazilian Presidential debate with at least one other registered Brazilian presidential candidate present, broadcast live. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/renan-santos-participates-in-debate-before-first-round
| 789909999 | Yes | 255.1 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 181.13 |
| JoaoLagos | Yes | 100 |
| itxsaw2 | Yes | 90 |
| pykue | Yes | 73 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 68 |
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