Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 15.5%. Yes opened at 58% on 17 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2026 to 23 Sep 2026, the highest close was 58% on 17 Sep 2026 and the lowest 15% on 21 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 20.5% on 18 Sep 2026. $7.18K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 24, 11:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 Sep 2026 – 23 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2026 | 58.0% |
| 23 Sep 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BOOST250 | No | 286.33 |
| tanzoe | No | 99.88 |
| Dishonest-Son | No | 93 |
| Silver Summit 71A4 | No | 54.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Huawei founder and CEO Ren Zhengfei is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Ren Zhengfei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ren-zhengfei-public-appearance-by
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| VFALL | No | 45 |
| jiudubishu | No | 40 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| wwwmaoliang | No | 25.17 |
| kimberly77 | No | 20.56 |
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