Record low border encounters in June?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jul 15, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$34.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 15, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 15 Jul 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 66.5% on 20 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 20 Jun 2025 to 15 Jul 2025, the highest close was 99.2% on 15 Jul 2025 and the lowest 43% on 26 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 43% on 26 Jun 2025. $34.02K traded over the market's life.

27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 12:40 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 20 Jun 2025 – 15 Jul 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
20 Jun 2025	66.5%
15 Jul 2025	99.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
turnaround	No	3K
Andrepdl	No	359.55
snowfoxalex	No	133.33
lissartter	No	116.82

10 of 27 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

In February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for June 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first report of data for June 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for June 2025 (FYTD) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)