Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 38% on 23 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 102 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 76% on 28 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 61 points up, to 76% on 28 Sep 2025. $59.87K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 102 points, 23 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | 38.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 1.58K |
| hikigah | Yes | 742.57 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 453 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Rainbow's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Rainbow (https://rainbow.me/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rainbow-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Yes |
| 333.33 |
| Chyshen | Yes | 282.85 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 248.99 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 226 |
| Warlike-Tomb | Yes | 221.31 |
| RXu107 | Yes | 200 |
| lissartter | Yes | 148.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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