Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 52 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 30% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 30% on 13 Nov 2025. $50.91K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 9.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chivoexpiatorio | Yes | 2.89K |
| RosyCoast99 | Yes | 2.44K |
| Pacman2 | Yes | 1.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rachel Reeves announces her resignation or otherwise ceases to be Chancellor of the Exchequer for any period of time between November 11 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official announcements of Reeves’s resignation or removal before her term is scheduled to end, for example, made by Reeves or the British Prime Minister, will qualify. Temporary absences or attempts at termination which do not actually remove Reeves from the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the UK Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rachel-reeves-out-as-chancellor-of-the-exchequer-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 789.07 |
| Charliewd | Yes | 534 |
| tailevent | Yes | 500 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 480 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 277 |
| Thomasiwanw2 | Yes | 231.39 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 228 |
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