Analytics
Yes is at 1.1%, down 8.9 points from 10% when the market opened on 27 Aug 2026.
Across the 60 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 10% on 27 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.8%; a month before, 2.6%.
$182.71 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.64K since listing. The order book holds $45.96K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 31 trades, $27.87 bought Yes and $1.01K bought No.
The largest Yes position is thecaricature with 411 shares; the largest No position is Art0888 with 724. Ten wallets hold 92.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 27 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | 10.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Art0888 | No | 723.54 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 411.44 |
| Abc0901 | No | 350.36 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/putin-and-zelenskyy-shake-hands-by-june-30
| -FROMTHEFUTURE- |
| Yes |
| 232.56 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 150 |
| Tevye | Yes | 119.19 |
| stavr | Yes | 100 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 92 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 67.27 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 60.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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