Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 7 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 7 Dec 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 7.4% on 10 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Dec 2024. $37.17K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 7 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2024 | 5.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Knowledgeable-Computer | Yes | 1.38K |
| moneymaker666 | Yes | 350.33 |
| nonemain | Yes | 108.51 |
| mango0x | Yes | 90.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if trading on Pump.fun is banned for U.S. persons between December 5 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from Pump.fun that a ban will be enacted on U.S. persons will qualify, regardless of if the ban is implemented before the deadline. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pumpfun-banned-in-the-us-before-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Mooni | Yes | 15.38 |
| Osell | No | 8 |
| Cobalt Comet 9A15 | Yes | 4.99 |
| GamitLe | No | 1.11 |
| uhvgewb459641 | Yes | 0.24 |
| ihgeewio154 | Yes | 0.24 |
