Question 1

What is the “Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

Right now Yes trades at 43.5¢ and No at 56.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 43.5% for Yes and 56.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2028. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/)…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($1.12K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($30.71K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 356 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 42.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 15, 11:29 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-500m-one-day-after-launch) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Sep 15, 11:30 PM	43.5%	43.5%
Sep 15, 11:00 PM	43.0%	43.0%
Sep 15, 10:00 PM	43.0%	43.0%

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Questions about this market