Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.4%. Yes opened at 60% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 22 May 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 96.9% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 25 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 47.5% on 16 May 2026. $66.71K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 9:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 22 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 60.0% |
| 22 May 2026 | 95.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Supreme99 | No | 1.23K |
| readyplayer6 | No | 1K |
| norealtime | No | 752.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pep-guardiola-out-as-manchester-city-manager-by-the-end-of-2026
| No |
| 700.26 |
| noid2 | No | 500 |
| ChetterHummin | No | 500 |
| Athletic-Station | No | 482.43 |
| Threadbare-Conception | No | 459.78 |
| Oval-Latency | No | 443.09 |
| HeiaTinus | No | 421.53 |
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