Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 30 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 65 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 17.5% on 1 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 23 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 9% on 7 Nov 2025. $4.88K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 30 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2025 | 16.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 444 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 214 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 159 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Paul Biya ceases to be President of Cameroon for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Paul Biya will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Cameroon within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of Cameroon; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/paul-biya-out-as-president-of-cameroon-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 140 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 120 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 100 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 67.92 |
| Kanp | Yes | 48.07 |
| Blaorra | Yes | 42.32 |
| Rlso | Yes | 40.58 |
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