Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 14.5% on 15 Jan 2026 and the low 0.4% on 19 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 3.5% on 17 Jan 2026. $29.12K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 14.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bigmaw | Yes | 922.75 |
| Free-Manufacturing | Yes | 191.39 |
| Vivid-Reference | Yes | 111.12 |
| Zealous-Pantry | No | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/park-sung-jae-in-jail-by-march-31
| 00xx1122 | Yes | 74 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 50 |
| abc1231112441 | Yes | 45 |
| Indigo Raven BA64 | Yes | 33.33 |
| PolyKetCat | Yes | 33 |
| Past-Crazy | Yes | 17.54 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
