Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 8% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 0.1% on 7 Mar 2026.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 9:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 8.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| asymetric | Yes | 500 |
| yfalse | Yes | 494.99 |
| Avalon-990 | Yes | 242.96 |
| 5atka | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Paradex's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Paradex (https://x.com/paradex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/paradex-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 199.82 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 120 |
| vcxv | Yes | 100 |
| kiddddddd | Yes | 82.82 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 75 |
| MyLastStand | Yes | 52.22 |
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