Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10% on 9 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2025 to 11 Jan 2025, the highest close was 10% on 9 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.7 points down, to 0.1% on 11 Jan 2025. $31.69K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 11:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 9 Jan 2025 – 11 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2025 | 10.0% |
| 11 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.12K |
| Pitee | Yes | 8K |
| Seloeded | Yes | 3.42K |
| Reeko | Yes | 941.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the expected acreage burned by the Palisades fire by Friday.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-acres-will-palisades-fire-burn-by-friday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Ashish007 | Yes | 55.56 |
| Rapid Voyager 82D2 | Yes | 13 |
| retelev | No | 0.03 |
