Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 24% on 21 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 24% on 21 Jul 2026 and the low 1.9% on 26 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 8.5% on 22 Jul 2026. $5.79K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 27, 1:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 21 Jul 2026 – 26 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026 | 24.0% |
| 26 Jul 2026 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Insidious-Maelstrom | Yes | 1.5K |
| qiudaoyu | Yes | 881.95 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 107 |
| iwishthisworks | Yes | 63 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| PPMT | Yes | 45.04 |
| Scaly-Arena | Yes | 40 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 25.1 |
| monoclith | Yes | 20 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the TownSquare raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the “committed” figure displayed on the official TownSquare sale page at https://www.townsq.xyz/sale. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-townsquare-public-sale-on-sonar-20260720184401658
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
