Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 98.1% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2026 to 25 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 24 Jan 2026 and the lowest 98.1% on 21 Jan 2026. $27.48K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 21 Jan 2026 – 25 Jan 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 98.1% |
| 25 Jan 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NoOneKnow36 | No | 1.5K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 633.99 |
| Queasy-Legal | No | 500 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 364 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Bitway raise on Kaito exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official raise page available at https://kaito.ai/capital-launchpad/99cde47ae13b4374a523?projectName=Bitway If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.”
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitway-public-sale-total-commitments
| Emerald Harbor 652B | No | 250 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 131 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| Intrepid-Civilian | No | 99.97 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 51 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 35.01 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
