Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 45.83 | $0.045 | $2.06 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 29.85 |
| $0.061 |
| $1.82 |
| Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.080 | $1.78 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.71 | $0.340 | $1.94 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.059 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.190 | $7.6 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.067 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1.01 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?Yes | sell | 34.03 | $0.174 | $5.92 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iraq next?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.001 | $1.5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?ETH | sell | 300 | $0.006 | $1.81 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH?ETH | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?Yes | buy | 34.04 | $0.059 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 51.52 | $0.086 | $4.43 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 115.13 | $0.014 | $1.61 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 45.83 | $0.044 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.013 | $1.76 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Yes | sell | 37.05 | $0.092 | $3.41 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.200 | $8 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.330 | $5.69 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.300 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Over $500K committed to the Bitway public sale?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.037 | $1.5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Hungary join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Turkiye join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 51.53 | $0.039 | $2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?Yes | sell | 13.04 | $0.510 | $6.65 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.460 | $6 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Yes | buy | 37.06 | $0.135 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |