Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 24% on 27 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Mar 2026 to 28 Mar 2026, the highest close was 24% on 27 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 1.1% on 28 Mar 2026. $1.99K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 4:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2026 | 24.0% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| ffsFsfq | Yes | 10 |
| Danielsam | Yes | 3.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/over-450-us-flights-cancelled-on-march-27
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