Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Apr 2026.
$5.65K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 21, 9:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 5 Apr 2026, chart shows 76%–86%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 81.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| stinkbidbot | No | 3.51K |
| 6Ch1ef9 | No | 1.1K |
| AmerikanXpress | No | 120 |
| sashakonoyv | Yes | 61.41 |
| Psychomer | No | 35 |
| bjprolo | No | 25 |
| Faston | No | 11.89 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 4.99 |
| Quaint-Spokesman | No | 2.94 |
| Mojito9 | No | 0.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/over-400-us-flights-cancelled-on-april-5
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