Analytics
Yes is at 33.5%, down 15 points from 49% when the market opened on 6 Jan 2026.
Across the 269 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 61% on 28 Jun 2026 and the lowest 13% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15%; a month before, 41.5%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 14% on 7 Jan 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “How many coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?”.
$28.2K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $222.42, with a 57.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 190 trades, $191.38 bought Yes and $2.77K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 485 shares; the largest No position is gydmasg with 480. Ten wallets hold 98.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 269 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 49.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 33.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 485.21 |
| gydmasg | No | 479.96 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 53 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the number of coins launched in 2026 that appear in the top 100 by market capitalization on CoinGecko is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is CoinGecko’s Top 100 market cap rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-coins-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-in-the-top-100
| Distinct-Kale | No | 40 |
| qqqmmmccc | No | 25 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 25 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 20 |
| POLELON | No | 11.45 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 9.75 |
| JohnJJJ | Yes | 8.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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