Analytics
Yes is at 8%, down 66 points from 74% when the market opened on 9 Mar 2026.
Across the 203 daily closes on record from 9 Mar 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 94.5% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 8% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 21.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 92.5% on 10 Mar 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$30 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $322.24K since listing. The order book holds $17.37K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is roflingbets with 5.6K shares; the largest No position is olegs with 7K. Ten wallets hold 54% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 203 points, 9 Mar 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Mar 2026 | 74.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 8.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| olegs | No | 6.96K |
| roflingbets | Yes | 5.62K |
| MaxEnt | No | 5.31K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| bozotys |
| No |
| 5.12K |
| neymar1 | Yes | 3K |
| bensontth | No | 2.5K |
| PrivateEquityy | No | 2.03K |
| PGeneral | No | 1.8K |
| Hard-To-Find-Leprosy | Yes | 1.79K |
| dodo2 | Yes | 1.72K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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