Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 26% on 21 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2023 to 27 Nov 2023, the highest close was 28% on 22 Nov 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 3.5% on 23 Nov 2023. $31.05K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 21 Nov 2023 – 27 Nov 2023, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2023 | 26.0% |
| 27 Nov 2023 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hmm | Yes | 148.69 |
| Rapid Pioneer 757C | Yes | 20 |
| Adso | No | 6.25 |
| Fanis | Yes | 2.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all current board members of OpenAI as of Nov 19 (Ilya Sutskever, Adam D'Angelo, Helen Toner, Tasha McCauley) resign or are replaced from their positions by Nov 26, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Resignation refers to officially stepping down from their positions, and must be confirmed by official OpenAI communication or credible news sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-board-out-by-end-of-week
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