- What is the “Ontario election called before May?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Ontario election called before May? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Apr 30, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ontario provincial election is officially scheduled for a date prior to June 4, 2026, by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occurs within the market timeframe. For example, if on February 7, 2025, an election is scheduled for a day in August, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ontario,…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($17.51K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
