Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 65%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 1 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2025 to 7 Mar 2025, the highest close was 83% on 3 Mar 2025 and the lowest 41.5% on 1 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 42% on 4 Mar 2025. $13.9K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 6:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Mar 2025 – 7 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | 41.5% |
| 7 Mar 2025 | 65.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wenda | No | 69.4 |
| Davidus | No | 14.94 |
| Bright-Philosopher | No | 4.76 |
| Dental-Package | Yes | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for TRUMPUSDT 07 Mar '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 12.51 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the TRUMPUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/TRUMP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance TRUMPUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/official-trump-above-12pt50-on-march-7
| SnowNeedMoney | Yes | 0.03 |
| blyagha | Yes | 0.02 |
| akl-4ibm | Yes | 0.01 |
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