Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 12 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 12 Sep 2025 to 5 Oct 2025, the highest close was 71.5% on 28 Sep 2025 and the lowest 14% on 4 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 64.5% on 26 Sep 2025. $95.83K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 8:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 12 Sep 2025 – 5 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2025 | 44.5% |
| 5 Oct 2025 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| duck2025 | Yes | 690.52 |
| lissartter | Yes | 535.77 |
| winnerwinnerchicky | Yes | 373.5 |
| Appollon | Yes | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 10, 2025, 6 PM ET, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Bitcoin hits an all-time high - Ethereum hits an all-time high - Solana hits an all-time high Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crypto.png
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-crypto-edition
| o=h= | Yes | 271.78 |
| Dense-Multimedia | Yes | 171.43 |
| Nothingeverhappenagain | Yes | 148.53 |
| qwertyyyy | Yes | 110 |
| leasing | Yes | 100 |
| PiotrMARW2025 | Yes | 60 |
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