Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 59%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 13 Apr 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 59% on 13 Apr 2026 and the lowest 56.5% on 9 Apr 2026. $24.71K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 15, 8:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 13 Apr 2026, chart shows 52%–64%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 56.5% |
| 13 Apr 2026 | 59.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| juka227 | No | 356.19 |
| Narrow-Picture | No | 94.11 |
| whyareyoureadingthis | No | 65 |
| daroghi | No | 60 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korea-missile-testlaunch-by-april-30-2026-948
| ganjubas22 | No | 45.21 |
| mmm16333 | No | 39.09 |
| haoquan | No | 30.3 |
| Neat-Robot | No | 27.95 |
| timeskaz | No | 10.64 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 10 |
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