Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 10.5%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 31 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 30.5% on 31 Oct 2025 and the low 10.5% on 7 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 19.5% on 1 Nov 2025. $48.87K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 8, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 31 Oct 2025 – 7 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2025 | 30.5% |
| 7 Nov 2025 | 10.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| juliepolly | No | 1.01K |
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | No | 1K |
| Abandoned-Cabbage | No | 976.24 |
| LukeGamma | No | 877.5 |
| Motherly-Pray | No | 390.89 |
| 10050411 | No | 300 |
| Failing-Subsidiary | No | 300 |
| Jalda | No | 200 |
| guiltytrades | No | 124.17 |
| xiao99595 | No | 120 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile by November 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korea-missile-launch-by-november-15-975
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