Analytics
Yes is at 14.5%, down 9 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 27 Mar 2026.
Across the 187 daily closes on record from 27 Mar 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45% on 13 Jun 2026 and the lowest 6% on 2 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13.5%; a month before, 13.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 42.5% on 10 Jun 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “Noble FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$3.64K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $215.85, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 126 trades, $90.51 bought Yes and $611.31 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 130 shares; the largest No position is Dapsy with 105.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 4:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 187 points, 27 Mar 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2026 | 23.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Noble's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Noble will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Noble (https://x.com/noble_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/noble-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| xixihaha009 |
| No |
| 75.98 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 27 |
| Haradwaith | No | 17.83 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 17.13 |
| kuasuo | No | 10.88 |
| Impossible-Earth | No | 10 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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