No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 June meeting?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Jun 12, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$530.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jun 12, 2024 UTC

Topic roomFed and FOMC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 12 Jun 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 94.7% on 2 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 2 May 2024 to 12 Jun 2024, the highest close was 97.5% on 12 Jun 2024 and the lowest 93.2% on 4 May 2024. $530.06K traded over the market's life.

63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 13, 7:26 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 2 May 2024 – 12 Jun 2024, chart shows 90%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
2 May 2024	94.7%
12 Jun 2024	97.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	453.11K
Hunter1603	No	11.27K
gremplin	No	2.68K
hasik	No	26.32

10 of 63 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's June 2024 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 11 - June 12, 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.