Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 6% on 2 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 74 daily closes on record from 2 Apr 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 21% on 2 May 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 18% on 24 Apr 2026. $5.85K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 10:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 2 Apr 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | 6.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| asdasdasad111 | Yes | 1.01K |
| meteortrex | Yes | 184.75 |
| LaoYao | Yes | 184.59 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikita Bier ceases to be Head of Product of X for any length of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Nikita Bier's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from X and/or Nikita Bier, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nikita-bier-out-as-head-of-product-at-x-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 100 |
| LukasMarak | Yes | 76.57 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 71.95 |
| Chichoplez | Yes | 20.2 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 15.02 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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