Analytics
Resolved Nik Airball on 17 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Nik Airball at 50.5%. The Mariano side opened at 57.5% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 17 Jan 2026, the highest close was 79% on 16 Jan 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 17 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 49.5% on 17 Jan 2026. $1.58K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 8:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Mariano price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 17 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Mariano price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 57.5% |
| 17 Jan 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| coolboy3 | Mariano | 300 |
| Sooka | Mariano | 60 |
| geedao | Mariano | 46.67 |
| rocketcrypto | Mariano | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Mariano" if between Mariano and Nik Airball, Mariano is the player with the higher net winnings at the end of the Hustler Casino's High Stakes Friday game scheduled for January 16, 2026. This market will resolve to "Nik Airball" if between Mariano and Nik Airball, Nik Airball is the player with the higher net winnings at the end of the game. If either player does not participate at all in the Hustler Casino game, this market will resolve to the other player. If both players' net winnings during the game are exactly equal, or if neither player participates in the Hustler Casino game, this market will resolve 50-50. The net winnings and the resolution of this market will be determined based on the event's live stream. Only hands played during the live-streamed game will count towards this market’s resolution. If the live stream becomes unavailable, this market will resolve according to official information from Hustler Casino Live.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8dqsCtzr_YI
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nik-airball-vs-mariano-higher-winnings-at-hustler-casino-on-friday-22
| bjprolo | Mariano | 5 |
| Adesember8O | Mariano | 1.67 |
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