Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 6% on 16 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 137 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 1 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 7% on 17 May 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 9 Sep 2026. $18.49K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 5:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 137 points, 16 May 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 6.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crypto-Well | Yes | 3.33K |
| Karayama | Yes | 964.1 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 439.56 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Nick Fuentes between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nick-fuentes-federally-charged
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 300 |
| Megaman | Yes | 300 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 165.01 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
| S888 | Yes | 126 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 108.33 |
| olekslie | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
