Analytics
The Maple Leafs side is at 38.5%, down 7 points from 45.5% when the market opened on 28 Sep 2026.
Across the 26 daily closes on record from 28 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 28 Sep 2026 and the lowest 35.5% on 9 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Maple Leafs side was at 38.5%. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 40% on 29 Sep 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “Maple Leafs vs. Oilers”.
$2.68K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $50.97K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Maple Leafs position is TTdes with 1.9K shares; the largest Oilers position is Miami222 with 1.5K. Ten wallets hold 96.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 8:04 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Maple Leafs price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 28 Sep 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–50%
| Observed | Maple Leafs price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | 45.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 38.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TTdes | Maple Leafs | 1.85K |
| Miami222 | Oilers | 1.5K |
| cocococococo | Oilers | 555 |
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:00PM ET: If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tor-edm-2026-10-24
| cassandra.torchlight |
| Maple Leafs |
| 518.83 |
| Nostdam | Oilers | 200 |
| schwifty33 | Oilers | 156.2 |
| HOPSG | Maple Leafs | 100 |
| bebebeboboboop | Oilers | 73.94 |
| neutralwave23 | Oilers | 38.53 |
| Automatic-Mist | Maple Leafs | 38.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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