Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 7 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 47.5%. The Lightning side opened at 50% on 11 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 54% on 25 Oct 2025 and the low 43.5% on 2 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 44% on 1 Nov 2025. $756.72K traded over the market's life.
192 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 8, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Lightning price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 11 Oct 2025 – 7 Nov 2025, chart shows 40%–60%
| Observed | Lightning price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 7 Nov 2025 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ErnstBlofeld | Golden Knights | 149.5K |
| B... | Golden Knights | 39.91K |
| 4-seass | Golden Knights | 37.78K |
| sadilamb | Golden Knights | 15K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 6 at 5:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-las-2025-11-06
New to prediction markets?
| Draggin | Golden Knights | 13K |
| Oviedo | Golden Knights | 4.1K |
| duderr | Golden Knights | 2.7K |
| araday | Golden Knights | 2.06K |
| Eleanorev | Golden Knights | 2K |
| TwoEyes | Golden Knights | 2K |
