Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 50% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 7 Jan 2026, the highest close was 51% on 5 Jan 2026 and the lowest 50% on 3 Jan 2026. $539.98 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 6:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 7 Jan 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 499.99 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
| polyphony - 24666 | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 4 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deebo Samuel Sr. scores a touchdown at any point during regulation or overtime. This market will resolve to "No" if Deebo Samuel Sr. does not score a touchdown during regulation or overtime. Qualifying Touchdowns: - A rushing touchdown by the player - A receiving touchdown caught by the player - A special teams touchdown (e.g. punt/kick return) Passing touchdowns do not qualify. Defensive touchdowns will be credited to the defensive unit, not individually credited to the player who scores. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take a snap, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com.
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-was-phi-2026-01-04
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